Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s presidential bid as an independent presidential candidate is unlikely to have a significant impact on the 2024 race, according to a new poll.
After Kennedy dropped out of the Democratic primary race to campaign as an independent earlier this month, political experts suggested the environmental lawyer and vaccine advocate could alienate voters seeking an alternative to President Joe Biden, along with COVID-19 vaccine skeptics who otherwise support Republican front-runner and former President Donald Trump.
However, a Yahoo News/YouGov online poll of 1,675 American adults found that Biden would maintain a slim 1-point lead over former Trump regardless of whether Kennedy continues his independent bid for the White House.
Without Kennedy running, Biden beats Trump 44% to 43% among registered voters, according to the Oct. 12-16 poll.
With Kennedy in the race as an independent, he manages to attract 9% of voters.
A new poll found that President Biden would beat former President Trump in the 2024 presidential election, whether Kennedy runs as an independent or not.REUTERS
If they had to choose between Biden, Trump or an independent candidate, 9% of respondents said they would vote for the independent candidate. AP
But because he attracts voters from both parties, that leaves Biden still on top, with 40% to Trump’s 39%.
However, even 9% may be exaggerating his impact: when the poll did not name Kennedy and asked respondents to choose Trump, Biden and “another candidate,” whose name they had to enter, only 1% wrote in his name. of Kennedy.
“So far, especially given the wide gulf between undefined support (1%) and induced support (9%), the former is probably a better measure of those currently planning to vote for Kennedy than the latter,” the pollster said. from YouGov, Mark. Blumenthal told Yahoo News.
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Source: vtt.edu.vn