Former President Donald Trump is well ahead of his Republican competitors in the 2024 Iowa caucuses, but he suffered a small dip in support just last month as challenger Nikki Haley gained some speed ahead of Monday’s vote.
The Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom Iowa poll shows that 48% of likely Republican caucusgoers choose Trump as their first choice for president, up from 51% who said the same in December.
Although it is waning, support could put him on track for the largest margin of victory in a contested Iowa Republican caucus in the modern history of presidential campaigns.
“Our grassroots supporters have put us in a position to win, and now we have to show up to President Trump’s Caucus on Monday and get the job done. We have to show up,” Trump said of the results.
Former South Carolina Gov. Haley came in second with 20% support, her best result in the Iowa poll so far, edging out Florida Gov. Ron Desantis, who had 16 percent.
The pair apparently traded places as Haley gained four points and DeSantis lost three.
The Sunshine State governor, once expected to be a direct rival to Trump, has not gained any traction since hitting his ceiling of 19% support in August.
No other candidate scored in double digits.
Biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy came in fourth with 8% support, almost double what he got in December. Texas pastor Ryan Binkley and former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson are both at 1%.
48% of Republican caucusgoers say Donald Trump is their first choice in Iowa, according to a recent poll. fake images
Although the gap between Trump and a second-place contender has narrowed, pollsters found his base of support to be much more secure: 82% of his voters say they consider him their first choice.
By comparison, Haley is on “shaky ground,” J. Ann Selzer, who conducted the survey, told the Des Moines Register.
Nikki Haley gained ground in the new poll. fake images
Only 63% of his voters are unwavering in their support, while DeSantis boasts a solid base of 64%.
Both will have to fight for the 25% of Iowans who said they could still be persuaded, as well as the 7% who have not firmly chosen a first-choice candidate.
Ron DeSantis came in third with 16 percent support in the poll. fake images
Selzer, president of the nationally recognized firm Selzer & Co., compared Haley’s results to the last Iowa poll before the 2016 Republican caucus, where Texas Sen. Ted Cruz emerged on top despite Trump leading in previous polls and ultimately won the presidential nomination. .
“The deep data on (Haley) suggests she appears stronger in the poll than she might on caucus night,” Selzer said.
A new poll showed Donald Trump was well ahead of his Republican competitors in Iowa. Des Moines Register
The final poll will be conducted just two days before the high-risk meeting, which could be seriously derailed by intense storms that weather officials warned are “life-threatening.”
The poll of 705 potential Republican caucusgoers was conducted Jan. 7-12 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.
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