Biden has 6-point national lead over Trump, boosted by female voters: poll

President Biden has a significant lead over former President Donald Trump in the popular vote in a hypothetical showdown in 2024, a new national poll shows.

The Quinnipiac University poll shows that Biden leads Trump between 50% and 44%, after the incumbent in the same poll surpassed his rival, between 47% and 46%, in December.

Biden’s strong numbers are boosted by support from 58% of female voters, 52% of independents and 62% of voters with college degrees.

“Gender demographics tell a story to watch,” said Quinnipiac polling analyst Tim Malloy. “Boosted by female voters in recent weeks, the tie with Trump turns into a modest advantage for Biden.”

By contrast, Trump wins male voters with 53% support in that demographic, but only captures 40% of independents.

Biden still leads Trump if third-party candidates are introduced into the race.

In a five-person race, Biden receives 39%, Trump receives 37%, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 14%, independent candidate Cornel West receives 3%, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein gets 2%.

President Joe Biden leaves the White House to board Marine One on the South Lawn on January 27, 2024. Getty Images

The 45th president leads Biden among Hispanic voters, obtaining 47% compared to the Democrat’s 45%. However, that is more than offset by Biden’s lead among black voters, where Trump has just 16% support.

The poll is a significant outlier in favor of Biden, who trails Trump by 47.1% to 44.6% in the RealClearPolitics polling data average.

Trump’s Republican rival, Nikki Haley, would defeat Biden in a hypothetical head-to-head race by five percentage points in the popular vote (47%-42%), but loses with the inclusion of third-party candidates, according to the poll.

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Trump delivers a speech after meeting with leaders of the International Brotherhood of Teamsters at their headquarters. The United Auto Workers endorsed President Joe Biden’s re-election campaign a week ago. fake images

In the same five-way race, Biden gets 36% support, Haley only gets 29%, RFK Jr. gets 21%, West comes in with 3%, and Stein gets 2%.

In the Republican race, 77% of national Republican and Republican-leaning voters support Trump, while 21% support Haley.

More than three-quarters (78%) of respondents said Trump would be a better leader than Haley, while 77% said he had better policy ideas.

On the Democratic side, Biden has 78% support for the nomination, with self-help author Marianne Williamson at 11% and Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) at 6%.

Biden campaigned in Florida on Tuesday night, trying to attract voters from Trump’s home state. fake images

The president’s job approval rating stands at 41%, the highest in the Quinnipiac poll since June 2023, while 55% disapprove of his performance while in office.

A majority of undeclared voters said they disapprove of Biden’s handling of the economy (55%), foreign policy (58%), the southern border (65%) and the war between Israel and Hamas (58%).

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On the southern border, 61% of respondents said they thought the situation constituted a “crisis.” Across party lines, 81% of Republicans, 43% of Democrats and 60% of independents said the same.

The survey was conducted by telephone from January 25 to 29 and included 1,650 self-identified registered voters with a margin of error of 2.4%. The sample included 696 Republican and Republican-leaning voters with a margin of error of 3.7% and 693 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters with a margin of error of 3.7%.

Another poll released Wednesday by Bloomberg News/Morning Consult showed Biden trailing Trump in seven key battleground states, six of which the Democrat won in 2020.

The poll showed Trump leading Biden in Arizona (47%-44%), Georgia (49%-41%), Michigan (47%-42%), Nevada (48%-40%), North Carolina (49% %-39%). %), Pennsylvania (48%-45%) and Wisconsin (49%-44%).

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